NEW YORK - eTradeWire -- "South Korea's next decade will be defined not by recovery alone, but by how effectively it converts stabilization into long-term strategic momentum."

M Capital Group ("MCG") released its latest regional research report, From Miracle to Momentum: Korea's Next Chapter of Growth, assessing South Korea's macroeconomic recovery, strategic industries, capital markets, and real estate landscape in 2026 and beyond.

The report argues that South Korea is no longer a broad-based recovery trade, but a more selective precision market where capital must be matched carefully to the right sectors, structures, geographies, and asset profiles. South Korea entered 2026 with nominal GDP of approximately US$1.76 trillion, GDP per capita of US$36,024, and US$36.1 billion in FDI inflows in 2025, a fifth consecutive annual record. The 2026 national budget rose to approximately US$496 billion, directed toward AI, R&D, semiconductors, defense, and other strategic industries. First-quarter 2026 GDP rose 1.7% quarter-on-quarter, and the Bank of Korea later raised its 2026 growth forecast to 2.6%, reflecting stronger-than-expected activity and semiconductor-led export momentum.

At the same time, the report stresses that Korea's strengths must be read alongside real constraints. Export resilience remains concentrated in semiconductors, which accounted for 24.4% of total exports in 2025, while the country remains exposed to external shocks through energy imports, trade policy, and currency volatility. The report notes that the Iran war and related disruption in the Strait of Hormuz have raised inflation pressure for an economy that still sources roughly 70% of its crude oil from the Middle East. Household leverage, macroprudential housing policy, selective credit, and demographic ageing also remain important constraints on the medium-term outlook.

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MCG finds that Korea's strongest opportunities are concentrated where industrial depth, policy support, infrastructure, and real operating demand reinforce one another. In technology, that includes semiconductors, AI-related compute ambition, data-center infrastructure, and biopharmaceutical manufacturing. In real estate, the recovery is also real but selective: commercial transaction volume reached approximately US$22.4 billion in 2025, while pricing, leasing, and investor demand remain strongest in prime office, institutionally managed rental housing, selected logistics corridors, and specialized nodes including Songdo, Pangyo, Osong, Daejeon, Magok, and Ulsan.

The report's central framework is summarized below: South Korea in 2026 is a precision market, where opportunities and risks must be evaluated together.

Steven Kuo of M Capital Group noted: "Korea's long-term case remains constructive, but it is becoming more selective. The country's strengths lie in its industrial depth, policy support, and increasingly specialized strategic sectors, while risks including demographics, external shocks, and concentration require more disciplined underwriting than simple recovery narratives imply."

Looking ahead, M Capital Group expects South Korea's next growth cycle to be shaped by export strength, industrial policy, digital infrastructure, biomanufacturing scale, and selective capital deployment. The report concludes that Korea's most compelling opportunities will continue to emerge where policy support, physical infrastructure, and institutional depth are already visible. In that sense, the country's next phase is best understood as a move from miracle to momentum.

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M Capital Group ("MCG") provides unique international expertise with local know-how mainly in Merchant Banking, Global Advisory, and Asset Management. MCG acts as partner of choice for corporations, entrepreneurs, management teams, governments, institutional investors and high net worth individuals, across industries and geographies, with specific targeted expertise. MCG draws upon long established and exclusive senior relationships in the US, Europe, Middle East, Africa and Asia.

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